Who would bet against Gilbert? On Twitter a lot of the discussion is comparing le Mur de Bretagne with le Mur de Huy in Fleche Wallone, and after dominating stage 1's uphill finish, stage 4 should be perfect for him. Below are the 2010 and 2011 last runs up the Mur de Huy, outlining why Gilbert, Vino, El Pistolero and even Frank "not crashed much yet this year" Schleck can't be ruled out. I'm inclined to add a bit of French to my guesses so after Gilbert am going to put forward Tommy Voeckler and Pierrick Fedrigo. Can't wait to watch today's stage.